futurex-ai/Futurex-Online

Submission Guidelines — Weekly Prediction Challenge

📄 Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.11987
🌐 LeaderBoard: https://futurex-ai.github.io/

We run a weekly real-time prediction challenge. This repo always contains latest events.

1. Weekly Rules

• A new set of tasks is released every week.
• This week's tasks cover events with an end time between 2025-08-27, 24:00 (UTC+8) and 2025-09-02, 24:00 (UTC+8).
• Option A: If you submit your API, we will automatically test your model.
• Option B: If you run locally, you must download the tasks, make predictions, and email us your results before Wednesday 24:00 (UTC+8) each week.
• Late submissions will not be counted.
• The leaderboard for this round will be updated by 2025-09-02, 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time).

⚠️ Next submission deadline: August 27th, 24:00 (UTC+8, Beijing Time)

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2. How to Participate?

Two ways:

2.1 Option A — Submit Your API

Send an email to [email protected] with your model’s API (OpenAI-compatible endpoint + key).

Email subject format:

FutureX Challenge Entry — [Your Model Name]

Email body should include:

• Model details (base model, parameters, safety settings)
• Any required headers or rate limits

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2.2 Option B — Run Locally & Submit Predictions

1. Download the latest tasks from our dataset: https://huggingface.co/datasets/futurex-ai/Futurex-Online

2. Run your model on the tasks.

3. Email your predictions to [email protected] before the deadline.

Email subject format:

FutureX Challenge Submission — [Your Model Name][Date]

Submission requirements:

• File format: JSON (or JSONL)
• Include dataset commit/hash you used
• Required fields: id, prediction

Example (table view):

id	prediction
event_001	Yes
event_002	No
event_003	Maybe

Example (JSONL format):

{"id": "event_001", "prediction": "Yes"}
{"id": "event_002", "prediction": "No"}
{"id": "event_003", "prediction": "Maybe"}

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3. Leaderboard and Privacy

• Once your model has been tested on 200+ events, it will appear on the overall leaderboard.
• Weekly results will be ranked and shown on a dynamic leaderboard.
• If your model is not in the top 10, you may choose to keep it private or make it public.

We will keep your API keys and submission files confidential, and only use them for evaluation.