<p>In a "view from the helicopter" <a href="https://youtu.be/XsArdIXgRTU?t=119" rel="nofollow noreferrer">video</a> by <em>The Economist</em> on the aftereffects of Covid-19, one of the editors says that it's very unlikely we'll see a return to normal this year e.g. in the restaurant business, even if lockdowns are officially ended. (I suspect air travel business is in a similar situation. Also of some interest, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s7-Y629PvAI" rel="nofollow noreferrer">WSJ video</a> on job losses in the US healthcare sector said to normally be "recession proof"; that video also says some of these [US healthcare] jobs are unlikely to return.)</p>

<p>So are there any attempts to estimate how many of the jobs lost this spring are "permanent" at least for the rest of the year, despite the prognosis of a V-shaped recovery that some/many predict?</p>

<p>I'm not asking about a particular country, but I suspect the US, Europe or China are the places most likely to have such studies/estimates. I'm mainly interested in models for how such an issue could even be estimated, this is why I'm not very particular about the country.</p>

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2020-05-18T06:13:37.410Z
What's wrong with this question?
fantastic peace and prosperity
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2020-05-18T07:12:38.733Z
I think your question is okay, sometimes people downvote without any reason.
1muflon1
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2020-05-18T15:33:23.297Z
People have opinions on this Question. This website is not supposed to be a forum for opinions, as there are plenty of other places to get those.
Brian Romanchuk
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2020-05-18T16:54:48.433Z
@BrianRomanchuk: I guess what you mean by that is that this can't be seriously modeled (because otherwise people have [more or less informed] opinions about many other things, some of which can be reasonably predicted.)
fantastic peace and prosperity
<reference-request><labor-economics><unemployment><covid-19-crisis>
Are there any estimates for what percentage of the jobs lost this spring are "permanent" at least for the rest of the year?
fantastic peace and prosperity
# Are there any estimates for what percentage of the jobs lost this spring are "permanent" at least for the rest of the year?

(Asked by: username_0 on 2020-05-18)

In a "view from the helicopter" [video](https://youtu.be/XsArdIXgRTU?t=119) by *The Economist* on the aftereffects of Covid-19, one of the editors says that it's very unlikely we'll see a return to normal this year e.g. in the restaurant business, even if lockdowns are officially ended. (I suspect air travel business is in a similar situation. Also of some interest, [WSJ video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s7-Y629PvAI) on job losses in the US healthcare sector said to normally be "recession proof"; that video also says some of these [US healthcare] jobs are unlikely to return.)

So are there any attempts to estimate how many of the jobs lost this spring are "permanent" at least for the rest of the year, despite the prognosis of a V-shaped recovery that some/many predict?

I'm not asking about a particular country, but I suspect the US, Europe or China are the places most likely to have such studies/estimates. I'm mainly interested in models for how such an issue could even be estimated, this is why I'm not very particular about the country.

**Tags:** reference-request, labor-economics, unemployment, covid-19-crisis
> **Comments:**
> **username_0**: What's wrong with this question?  
> **username_1**: I think your question is okay, sometimes people downvote without any reason.  
> **username_2**: People have opinions on this Question. This website is not supposed to be a forum for opinions, as there are plenty of other places to get those.  
> **username_0**: @BrianRomanchuk: I guess what you mean by that is that this can't be seriously modeled (because otherwise people have [more or less informed] opinions about many other things, some of which can be reasonably predicted.)  

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## 0 answers

