Papers
arxiv:2508.12669

Leveraging Large Language Models for Predictive Analysis of Human Misery

Published on Aug 18
· Submitted by abhi1nandy2 on Aug 20
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Abstract

LLMs predict misery scores from text using various prompting strategies, with few-shot approaches outperforming zero-shot, and a gamified framework assessing their adaptability in emotional reasoning tasks.

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This study investigates the use of Large Language Models (LLMs) for predicting human-perceived misery scores from natural language descriptions of real-world scenarios. The task is framed as a regression problem, where the model assigns a scalar value from 0 to 100 to each input statement. We evaluate multiple prompting strategies, including zero-shot, fixed-context few-shot, and retrieval-based prompting using BERT sentence embeddings. Few-shot approaches consistently outperform zero-shot baselines, underscoring the value of contextual examples in affective prediction. To move beyond static evaluation, we introduce the "Misery Game Show", a novel gamified framework inspired by a television format. It tests LLMs through structured rounds involving ordinal comparison, binary classification, scalar estimation, and feedback-driven reasoning. This setup enables us to assess not only predictive accuracy but also the model's ability to adapt based on corrective feedback. The gamified evaluation highlights the broader potential of LLMs in dynamic emotional reasoning tasks beyond standard regression. Code and data link: https://github.com/abhi1nandy2/Misery_Data_Exps_GitHub

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In our paper, we show how Large Language Models can predict misery scores from text. We also introduce the "Misery Game Show" - a fun, gamified test that not only checks accuracy but also how well LLMs adapt to feedback, opening new possibilities for emotional reasoning!

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