query: What do poll probabilities actually mean
positive_passages.docid: 65291
positive_passages.text: Probability of a single real-life future event: What does it mean when they say that "Hillary has a 75% chance of winning"?
negative_passages.docid: 47965
negative_passages.text: What is the difference between "likelihood" and "probability"?
negative_passages.docid: 39037
negative_passages.text: How many close votes do I actually have each day?
negative_passages.docid: 2523
negative_passages.text: Distinguish close votes by reason
negative_passages.docid: 46759
negative_passages.text: Regarding p-values, why 1% and 5%? Why not 6% or 10%?
negative_passages.docid: 157913
negative_passages.text: SE Election ballots with unexpected values
negative_passages.docid: 75344
negative_passages.text: Understanding p-value
negative_passages.docid: 99062
negative_passages.text: Intuitive explanation of variance and moment in Probability
negative_passages.docid: 127927
negative_passages.text: What happens with votes cast with rep < 15 exactly?
negative_passages.docid: 68162
negative_passages.text: Expected value of the conditional choice probability
negative_passages.docid: 106149
negative_passages.text: close votes vs votes remaining
negative_passages.docid: 43393
negative_passages.text: Interpretation of p-value in hypothesis testing
negative_passages.docid: 155721
negative_passages.text: would adding the probabilities in a dataset be more accurate than the individual results?
negative_passages.docid: 1127
negative_passages.text: What, precisely, is a confidence interval?
negative_passages.docid: 18489
negative_passages.text: How can I determine accuracy of past probability calculations?
negative_passages.docid: 4677
negative_passages.text: What is the meaning of p values and t values in statistical tests?
negative_passages.docid: 115076
negative_passages.text: Why not always present logistic regression estimates in the response scale (probablity)?