Instruct: Identify the main and secondary category of Arxiv papers based on the titles and abstracts
Query: Projecting human development and CO2 emissions   We estimate cumulative CO2 emissions during the period 2000 to 2050 from
developed and developing countries based on the empirical relationship between
CO2 per capita emissions (due to fossil fuel combustion and cement production)
and corresponding HDI. In order to project per capita emissions of individual
countries we make three assumptions which are detailed below. First, we use
logistic regressions to fit and extrapolate the HDI on a country level as a
function of time. This is mainly motivated by the fact that the HDI is bounded
between 0 and 1 and that it decelerates as it approaches 1. Second, we employ
for individual countries the correlations between CO2 per capita emissions and
HDI in order to extrapolate their emissions. This is an ergodic assumption.
Third, we let countries with incomplete data records evolve similarly as their
close neighbors (in the emissions-HDI plane, see Fig. 1 in the main text) with
complete time series of CO2 per capita emissions and HDI. Country-based
emissions estimates are obtained by multiplying extrapolated CO2 per capita
values by population numbers of three scenarios extracted from the Millennium
Ecosystem Assessment report. Finally, we propose a reduction scheme, where
countries with an HDI above the development threshold reduce their per capita
CO2 emissions with a rate that is proportional to their HDI. We estimate the
minimum proportionality constant so that the global emissions by 2050 meet the
1000Gt limit.

0
The categories of this paper are: hep-ph
1
The categories of this paper are: cs
33
The categories of this paper are: plasm-ph
7
The categories of this paper are: hep-th
35
The categories of this paper are: mtrl-th
31
The categories of this paper are: ao-sci
13
The categories of this paper are: quant-ph
30
The categories of this paper are: q-alg
8
The categories of this paper are: hep-ex
14
The categories of this paper are: math-ph
9
The categories of this paper are: nlin
17
The categories of this paper are: q-fin
16
The categories of this paper are: stat
29
The categories of this paper are: funct-an
24
The categories of this paper are: dg-ga
28
The categories of this paper are: alg-geom