Instruct: Identify the main and secondary category of Arxiv papers based on the titles and abstracts
Query: Hurricane Simulation and Nonstationary Extremal Analysis for a Changing
  Climate   Particularly important to hurricane risk assessment for coastal regions is
finding accurate approximations of return probabilities of maximum windspeeds.
Since extremes in maximum windspeed have a direct relationship to minimums in
the central pressure, accurate windspeed return estimates rely heavily on
proper modeling of the central pressure minima. Using the HURDAT2 database, we
show that the central pressure minima of hurricane events can be appropriately
modeled by a nonstationary extreme value distribution. We also provide and
validate a Poisson distribution with a nonstationary rate parameter to model
returns of hurricane events. Using our nonstationary models and numerical
simulation techniques from established literature, we perform a simulation
study to model returns of maximum windspeeds of hurricane events along the
North Atlantic Coast. We show that our revised model agrees with current data
and results in an expectation of higher maximum windspeeds for all regions
along the coast with the highest maximum windspeeds occurring in the northern
part of the coast.

26
The categories of this paper are: bayes-an
33
The categories of this paper are: plasm-ph
32
The categories of this paper are: atom-ph
18
The categories of this paper are: econ
24
The categories of this paper are: dg-ga
11
The categories of this paper are: hep-lat
35
The categories of this paper are: mtrl-th
0
The categories of this paper are: hep-ph
4
The categories of this paper are: cond-mat
28
The categories of this paper are: alg-geom
27
The categories of this paper are: comp-gas
14
The categories of this paper are: math-ph
37
The categories of this paper are: supr-con
10
The categories of this paper are: q-bio
12
The categories of this paper are: nucl-th
34
The categories of this paper are: chem-ph