Instruct: Identify the main and secondary category of Arxiv papers based on the titles and abstracts
Query: Forecast Analysis of the COVID-19 Incidence in Lebanon: Prediction of
  Future Epidemiological Trends to Plan More Effective Control Programs   Ever since the COVID-19 pandemic started, all the governments have been
trying to limit its effects on their citizens and countries. This pandemic was
harsh on different levels for almost all populations worldwide and this is what
drove researchers and scientists to get involved and work on several kinds of
simulations to get a better insight into this virus and be able to stop it the
earliest possible. In this study, we simulate the spread of COVID-19 in Lebanon
using an Agent-Based Model where people are modeled as agents that have
specific characteristics and behaviors determined from statistical
distributions using Monte Carlo Algorithm. These agents can go into the world,
interact with each other, and thus, infect each other. This is how the virus
spreads. During the simulation, we can introduce different Non-Pharmaceutical
Interventions - or more commonly NPIs - that aim to limit the spread of the
virus (wearing a mask, closing locations, etc). Our Simulator was first
validated on concepts (e.g. Flattening the Curve and Second Wave scenario), and
then it was applied on the case of Lebanon. We studied the effect of opening
schools and universities on the pandemic situation in the country since the
Lebanese Ministry of Education is planning to do so progressively, starting
from 21 April 2021. Based on the results we obtained, we conclude that it would
be better to delay the school openings while the vaccination campaign is still
slow in the country.

4
The categories of this paper are: cond-mat
37
The categories of this paper are: supr-con
33
The categories of this paper are: plasm-ph
29
The categories of this paper are: funct-an
22
The categories of this paper are: chao-dyn
21
The categories of this paper are: adap-org
16
The categories of this paper are: stat
9
The categories of this paper are: nlin
24
The categories of this paper are: dg-ga
2
The categories of this paper are: math
0
The categories of this paper are: hep-ph
31
The categories of this paper are: ao-sci
3
The categories of this paper are: physics
34
The categories of this paper are: chem-ph
14
The categories of this paper are: math-ph
30
The categories of this paper are: q-alg