Instruct: Identify the main and secondary category of Arxiv papers based on the titles and abstracts
Query: A Bayesian cohort component projection model to estimate adult
  populations at the subnational level in data-sparse settings   Accurate estimates of subnational populations are important for policy
formulation and monitoring population health indicators. For example, estimates
of the number of women of reproductive age are important to understand the
population at risk to maternal mortality and unmet need for contraception.
However, in many low-income countries, data on population counts and components
of population change are limited, and so levels and trends subnationally are
unclear. We present a Bayesian constrained cohort component model for the
estimation and projection of subnational populations. The model builds on a
cohort component projection framework, incorporates census data and estimates
from the United Nation's World Population Prospects, and uses characteristic
mortality schedules to obtain estimates of population counts and the components
of population change, including internal migration. The data required as inputs
to the model are minimal and available across a wide range of countries,
including most low-income countries. The model is applied to estimate and
project populations by county in Kenya for 1979-2019, and validated against the
2019 Kenyan census.

4
The categories of this paper are: cond-mat
10
The categories of this paper are: q-bio
28
The categories of this paper are: alg-geom
36
The categories of this paper are: cmp-lg
30
The categories of this paper are: q-alg
26
The categories of this paper are: bayes-an
18
The categories of this paper are: econ
29
The categories of this paper are: funct-an
17
The categories of this paper are: q-fin
23
The categories of this paper are: solv-int
3
The categories of this paper are: physics
1
The categories of this paper are: cs
34
The categories of this paper are: chem-ph
11
The categories of this paper are: hep-lat
33
The categories of this paper are: plasm-ph
37
The categories of this paper are: supr-con