>

Or do another pretend coup d’etat
Erdogan is a constrained tyrant. The tail will wag the dog, if he's faced with the possibility of losing power. >

unless he can find something domestic to fight I'm not sure how he does that  
he can't fight NATO since all his power comes with being the fringest member of nato, and if he attacks somewhere east he just alienates the other side he relies on. >

Eh, he could always start another "antiterrorism" campaign to reduce the Kurdish population in eastern Turkey, that's usually a pretty popular move!