Transition Probability to Turbulent Transport Regime
  Transition phenomena between thermal noise state and turbulent state observed in a submarginal turbulent plasma are analyzed with statistical theory. Time-development of turbulent fluctuation is obtained by numerical simulations of Langevin equation which contains hysteresis characteristics. Transition rates between two states are analyzed. Transition from turbulent state to thermal noise state occurs in entire region between subcritical bifurcation point and linear stability boundary. 
Mitsuhiro Kawasaki, Atsushi Furuya, Masatoshi Yagi, Kimitaka Itoh, and   Sanae-I. Itoh