A Calculus for End-to-end Statistical Service Guarantees
  The deterministic network calculus offers an elegant framework for determining delays and backlog in a network with deterministic service guarantees to individual traffic flows. This paper addresses the problem of extending the network calculus to a probabilistic framework with statistical service guarantees. Here, the key difficulty relates to expressing, in a statistical setting, an end-to-end (network) service curve as a concatenation of per-node service curves. The notion of an effective service curve is developed as a probabilistic bound on the service received by an individual flow. It is shown that per-node effective service curves can be concatenated to yield a network effective service curve. 
A. Burchard, J. Liebeherr, S. D. Patek