The Galactic Distribution of Asymptotic Giant Branch Stars
  We study the Galactic distribution of ~10,000 Asymptotic Giant Branch (AGB) stars selected by IRAS colors and variability index. The distance to each star is estimated by assuming a narrow luminosity function and a model-derived bolometric correction. The characteristic AGB star luminosity, L_AGB, is determined from the condition that the highest number density must coincide with the Galactic bulge. Assuming a bulge distance of 8 kpc, we determine L_AGB \~ 3,500 Lo, in close agreement with values obtained for nearby AGB stars using the HIPPARCOS data. We find that there are no statistically significant differences in the Galactic distribution of AGB stars with different IRAS colors, implying a universal density distribution. The direct determination of this distribution shows that it is separable in the radial, R, and vertical, z, directions. Perpendicular to the Galactic plane, the number density of AGB stars is well described by an exponential function with a vertical scale height of 300 pc. In the radial direction the number density of AGB stars is constant up to R ~ 5 kpc, and then it decreases exponentially with a scale length of \~1.6 kpc. This fall-off extends to at least 12 kpc, where the sample becomes too small. The overall normalization implies that there are about 200,000 AGB stars in the Galaxy. We estimate the [25]-[12] color distribution of AGB stars for an unbiased volume-limited sample. By using a model-dependent transformation between the color and mass-loss rate, Mdot, we constrain the time dependence of Mdot. The results suggest that for 10^-6 Mo/yr < Mdot < 10^-5 Mo/yr the mass-loss rate increases exponentially with time. We find only marginal evidence that the mass-loss rate increases with stellar mass. 
T. Jackson, Z. Ivezic, and G.R. Knapp